{"id":42374,"date":"2020-02-25T11:14:41","date_gmt":"2020-02-25T03:14:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.imoney.my\/articles\/?p=42374"},"modified":"2020-02-25T11:35:09","modified_gmt":"2020-02-25T03:35:09","slug":"economic-impact-of-the-current-political-uncertainty-in-malaysia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.imoney.my\/articles\/economic-impact-of-the-current-political-uncertainty-in-malaysia","title":{"rendered":"What Does The Current Political Uncertainty Mean To Our Economy?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>It has been a suspenseful couple of days for Malaysians with news of a backdoor government being formed, and even the possibility of a new prime minister.<\/p>\n<p>This has led to the latest news of Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad&#8217;s sudden resignation as prime minister, which has set in motion a political shift that will have far-reaching consequences.<\/p>\n<p>With the recent turn of events, let&#8217;s see how it\u2019s affecting our economy right now.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>The tumbling ringgit<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Since yesterday, the Malaysian ringgit has dropped to 4.22 against the US dollar. In fact, it&#8217;s been on a downward trend for February and it looks likely to slide further.<\/p>\n<p>Local daily <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theedgemarkets.com\/article\/klci-breaks-below-1500-level\">theedgemarkets.com<\/a> quoted FXTM market analyst Han Tan forecasting the ringgit will continue its downward trend &#8220;towards the 4.24-4.25 region, until there is more clarity with regards to Malaysia\u2019s policy and economic outlook.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The ringgit also lost more ground among other currencies, breaching 3.0 and 3.7 respectively against the Singaporean dollar and the Japanese yen.<\/p>\n<p>The political turbulence Malaysia is facing right now, coupled with the uncertainty associated with Covid-19 outbreak, make the perfect recipe for a weakened consumer sentiment and reduced pace of economic development.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Bursa Malaysia takes a plunge<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>It\u2019s official, the FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI Index hit a 10-year low yesterday.<\/p>\n<p>In fact, the index fell below 1500 at one point yesterday to 1,486.71. The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nst.com.my\/business\/2020\/02\/568653\/bursa-malaysia-closes-lowest-level-almost-10-years-dr-ms-resignation\">last time<\/a> the index tumbled that low was back in November 2010.<\/p>\n<p>Shares associated with government-linked companies were among the biggest losers, with Tenaga Nasional taking the lead. The overall impact saw a loss of 38.94 points by midday yesterday, ending the day at a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theedgemarkets.com\/article\/klci-ends-below-1500-amid-malaysia-political-uncertainty-covid19-outbreak\">historic low<\/a> of 1,490.06 points.\u00a0\u00a0It has since picked up over 9 points since the markets opened today but uncertainties remain.<\/p>\n<p>The writing was already on the wall last Friday when the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestar.com.my\/business\/business-news\/2020\/02\/24\/foreign-selling-spikes-to-rm4479mil-bursa-last-week\">outflow of foreign funds<\/a> from Bursa Malaysia reached RM447.9mil, the second highest recorded in 2020.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>What will happen next?<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>While local politics was a big factor in the downtrend seen this week, the global outlook didn\u2019t help as news of coronavirus deaths increasing in South Korea, Italy and the Middle East <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/us-global-markets\/shares-drop-gold-surges-as-coronavirus-fears-trigger-flight-for-safety-idUSKCN20I00F?il=0\">triggered a selloff<\/a> among international investors causing global shares and oil prices to drop.<\/p>\n<p>Apart from the coronavirus outbreak, the volatile conditions of the ringgit and local stock market did not happen overnight.<\/p>\n<p>By the end of 2019, market analysts were already forecasting the ringgit weakening this year. Fitch Ratings had issued its <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thesundaily.my\/business\/fitch-forecasts-ringgit-to-weaken-in-2020-on-domestic-political-risks-rebound-in-2021-DN1780335\">ringgit forecast<\/a> back in December 2019, maintaining it at RM4.25 and RM4.20 against the US dollar for 2020 and 2021 respectively. The ratings agency had then cited &#8220;domestic political risks to weigh on sentiment on the ringgit&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>Investors had also factored in this <a href=\"https:\/\/www.straitstimes.com\/asia\/se-asia\/investors-brace-themselves-for-kl-political-uncertainty\">risk<\/a> for Malaysian investments as early as middle of last year, by choosing to invest in companies that are seen to be less prone to political risks, with many choosing a &#8216;wait and see&#8217; approach. The downward pricing may also present a buying opportunity for investors looking to pick up bargains once the dust settles.<\/p>\n<p>Earlier, the government had promised to unveil an <a href=\"https:\/\/www.treasury.gov.my\/index.php\/en\/gallery-activities\/press-release\/item\/5975-media-release-economic-stimulus-package-to-mitigate-the-adverse-external-economic-impacts-of-the-covid-19-outbreak-on-malaysia.html\">economic stimulus package<\/a> to business sectors affected by the coronavirus outbreak to weather the economic storm. However, a political storm has also broken out and the situation is still unfolding by the hour.<\/p>\n<p>Will there be a snap election? Will we be able to recover the foreign investors\u2019 confidence in Malaysia?<\/p>\n<p><strong>MORE TO COME<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>From the Ringgit to the FBM KLCI \u2013 here\u2019s what you need to know.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":42375,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[271,315,1,216],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-42374","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy","category-forex","category-investment","category-news-updates"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The Economic Impact Of The Current Political Uncertainty In Malaysia<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"With this latest political crisis hitting Malaysia, 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